GBR Update

Back in May of 2024 I put out a post introducing the world to GBR, or Goals Before Replacement. It is my formula to look at how many goals one player is expected to contribute if they played an entire 60 minute game. 

I use that by adding together the 6 different categories:

EV OFF - Even Strength Offensive Ability

EV DEF - Even Strength Defensive Ability

SHOOTING - All Situations Shooting Ability

PP - Power Play Ability

PK - Penalty Kill Ability

PENALTIES - Goals Expected off of Penalties

GBR - Goals Before Replacement

All my data I have got from naturalstattrick.com, and I get my logos for the cards from sportslogos.net.

My old cards didn’t look the best, so I have transformed them and have made better cards. 

You can also see on these cards, I have added 6 new categories on the bottom. These categories have no effect on the actual GBR formula, it is more for data purposes and being able to see a wider range of stats on the cards.

The metrics are as follows:

GOALS - Goals Scored per 60 in 5v5

FIRST ASSISTS - 1st Assists per 60 in 5v5

PHYSICALITY - Hits per 60 in 5v5

REBOUNDS - Rebounds Created per 60 in 5v5

RUSH - Rush Opportunities Created per 60 in 5v5

CONTRIBUTION - IPP (Individual Point Percentage, amount of points divided by total goals for that a player is on the ice for; developed by NST)

On these new cards there is also a graph displaying their career GBR, EV OFF, and EV DEF for each season.

I am working on how to create projection cards for an upcoming season, which would add an additional card to the mix. I also do not have any goalie cards, that will hopefully be coming in the future.

With this new update, I am also planning on phasing out my X (Twitter) account @SticksAndStats. I still have the account, however, instead, since I have now graduated high school, I am planning on using my main account for my stats related things, @BSamps18, to collect all of my projects into one account. I have done projects for hockey and baseball as well, plus already a decent follower base on there, which would make it easier to distribute these cards to the public.

There I plan to be more active in posting cards during player news or signings. 

Through this I hope to gain more of an audience, and later add more pieces to this metric.